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The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies met four times during the regular season, with Golden State taking three of those contests (123-118, 121-113, and 134-125) while Memphis earned a lone dominant victory, 144-93. Despite the Warriors’ edge in the season series, laying more than two full possessions in a high-stakes play-in game feels like an overreaction. This is a tightly matched battle between two postseason-tested teams, and I’m backing the Grizzlies to cover the number.
Statistically, the Grizzlies have multiple edges that can’t be ignored. They hold a superior overall field goal percentage at 47.9% compared to the Warriors’ 45.1%, and they also shoot the three-ball slightly better, connecting at a 36.7% clip versus Golden State’s 36.4%. Memphis also leads in rebounding rate at 52.0%, edging out the Warriors’ 50.7%. While the Grizzlies are known for their offensive explosiveness, it’s worth noting that they rank inside the top 10 in defensive efficiency, allowing just 110.0 points per 100 possessions.
Golden State’s playoff experience and home-court edge might ultimately tip the game in their favor, but expecting a runaway victory is a stretch. Memphis has enough firepower and defensive grit to keep things close from start to finish. In a game that’s likely to come down to the final minutes, I’m grabbing the points with the Grizzlies and anticipating a nail-biter rather than a blowout. Take Memphis ATS
Statistically, the Grizzlies have multiple edges that can’t be ignored. They hold a superior overall field goal percentage at 47.9% compared to the Warriors’ 45.1%, and they also shoot the three-ball slightly better, connecting at a 36.7% clip versus Golden State’s 36.4%. Memphis also leads in rebounding rate at 52.0%, edging out the Warriors’ 50.7%. While the Grizzlies are known for their offensive explosiveness, it’s worth noting that they rank inside the top 10 in defensive efficiency, allowing just 110.0 points per 100 possessions.
Golden State’s playoff experience and home-court edge might ultimately tip the game in their favor, but expecting a runaway victory is a stretch. Memphis has enough firepower and defensive grit to keep things close from start to finish. In a game that’s likely to come down to the final minutes, I’m grabbing the points with the Grizzlies and anticipating a nail-biter rather than a blowout. Take Memphis ATS
NBA Basketball Picks
Tuesday, April 15th 2025 10:00 PM
Finished

Tuesday, April 15th 2025 10:00 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
HEdge Admin 63 % Smart Money Sports 70 % SportsLine Discord 100 % Sean Higgs 75 % Big Mike's Sports Network 57 % Mark Ruelle 62 % Dimers 60 % Sports Picks Forum 58 % Jess Root 64 % Jess Root 64 % Chris Ruffolo 56 %
Spread
Money
Total
SPREAD
Memphis Grizzlies 6.5 (-107) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Randy Chambers
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Peter Tran
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -6
HEdge Admin
W%: 66
ROI: 25
Dimers
W%: 47
ROI: -6
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Billy Coleman
W%: 47
ROI: -12
Donnie Rightside
W%: 47
ROI: -12
SportsLine Discord
W%: 43
ROI: -18
SPREAD
Golden State Warriors -6.5 (-112) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
Mark Ruelle
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Guy Bruhn
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Liev Jackson
W%: 46
ROI: -10
Football Jesus
W%: 52
ROI: -6
Teddy Covers
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Ashley Olsen
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Jess Root
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Micah Roberts
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -7
MONEY
Golden State Warriors -285
TOTAL
UNDER 227.0 (-112)
AVG UNDER W%: 47 ROI: -10
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Germantas Kneita
W%: 51
ROI: 1
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Totals Guru
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Mackenzie Brooks
W%: 36
ROI: -30
TOTAL
OVER 227.0 (-107)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Sean Higgs
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Big Mike's Sports Network
W%: 52
ROI: -0
Jess Root
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Big Mike Tompkins
W%: 54
ROI: 2
Ziti Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8