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The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies met four times during the regular season, with Golden State taking three of those contests (123-118, 121-113, and 134-125) while Memphis earned a lone dominant victory, 144-93. Despite the Warriors’ edge in the season series, laying more than two full possessions in a high-stakes play-in game feels like an overreaction. This is a tightly matched battle between two postseason-tested teams, and I’m backing the Grizzlies to cover the number.
Statistically, the Grizzlies have multiple edges that can’t be ignored. They hold a superior overall field goal percentage at 47.9% compared to the Warriors’ 45.1%, and they also shoot the three-ball slightly better, connecting at a 36.7% clip versus Golden State’s 36.4%. Memphis also leads in rebounding rate at 52.0%, edging out the Warriors’ 50.7%. While the Grizzlies are known for their offensive explosiveness, it’s worth noting that they rank inside the top 10 in defensive efficiency, allowing just 110.0 points per 100 possessions.
Golden State’s playoff experience and home-court edge might ultimately tip the game in their favor, but expecting a runaway victory is a stretch. Memphis has enough firepower and defensive grit to keep things close from start to finish. In a game that’s likely to come down to the final minutes, I’m grabbing the points with the Grizzlies and anticipating a nail-biter rather than a blowout. Take Memphis ATS
Statistically, the Grizzlies have multiple edges that can’t be ignored. They hold a superior overall field goal percentage at 47.9% compared to the Warriors’ 45.1%, and they also shoot the three-ball slightly better, connecting at a 36.7% clip versus Golden State’s 36.4%. Memphis also leads in rebounding rate at 52.0%, edging out the Warriors’ 50.7%. While the Grizzlies are known for their offensive explosiveness, it’s worth noting that they rank inside the top 10 in defensive efficiency, allowing just 110.0 points per 100 possessions.
Golden State’s playoff experience and home-court edge might ultimately tip the game in their favor, but expecting a runaway victory is a stretch. Memphis has enough firepower and defensive grit to keep things close from start to finish. In a game that’s likely to come down to the final minutes, I’m grabbing the points with the Grizzlies and anticipating a nail-biter rather than a blowout. Take Memphis ATS
NBA Basketball Picks
Tuesday, April 15th 2025 10:00 PM
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NBA Basketball Picks
Tuesday, April 15th 2025 10:00 PM
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NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Football Jesus 60 % Teddy Covers 60 % HEdge Admin 63 % Sean Higgs 86 % Mark Ruelle 64 % Dimers 59 % Sports Picks Forum 60 % Jess Root 67 % Jess Root 67 %
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Money
Total
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors FREE cappers picks
SPREAD
Memphis Grizzlies 7.0 (-107) AVG SPREAD W%: 51 ROI: -3
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W%: 49
ROI: -6
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W%: 48
ROI: -7
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W%: 49
ROI: -6
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W%: 50
ROI: -6
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W%: 66
ROI: 25
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W%: 47
ROI: -6
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W%: 49
ROI: -6
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W%: 47
ROI: -12
SPREAD
Golden State Warriors -7.0 (-112) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -6
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W%: 52
ROI: -2
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W%: 50
ROI: -5
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W%: 46
ROI: -10
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W%: 52
ROI: -6
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W%: 48
ROI: -8
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W%: 48
ROI: -9
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W%: 49
ROI: -4
MONEY
Golden State Warriors -320
TOTAL
UNDER 227.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -5
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W%: 49
ROI: -5
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W%: 51
ROI: 1
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W%: 50
ROI: -6
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W%: 48
ROI: -9
TOTAL
OVER 227.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -4
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W%: 46
ROI: -11
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W%: 49
ROI: -6
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W%: 52
ROI: -1
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W%: 49
ROI: -4
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W%: 50
ROI: -6
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W%: 53
ROI: 2
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