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The Spartans have been red hot, riding a five-game winning streak while covering the spread in all five victories (5-0-0 ATS). They’ve been dominant, with four of those five wins coming by at least nine points, showing they’re not just winning—they’re winning convincingly. A victory on Thursday night will secure the Big Ten regular-season title outright, making this a high-stakes matchup for Michigan State.

On the other hand, Iowa has been reeling, covering the spread just once in their last 13 games (1-11-1 ATS). Their struggles on the defensive end have been glaring, and they don’t force enough missed shots to disrupt Michigan State’s efficient offense. The Spartans dominate the glass, which means plenty of second-chance opportunities that will keep their scoring output high.

Michigan State boasts a top-five defense in the nation according to KenPom rankings, and that spells trouble for Iowa. The Hawkeyes lack a reliable scoring presence at the free-throw line and on the offensive boards, making it difficult to break down a Michigan State defense that thrives on forcing tough shots. With Iowa missing their leading scorer, the Spartans should control the tempo and cover with ease in this crucial Big Ten showdown. Take Michigan State ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Thursday, March 6th 2025 8:00 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Michigan State vs Iowa with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Picks 4 Dayzzz 100 % Bob Bafle 60 % Tony Sink 58 % LVSB BIG Favorites 86 % Stephen Nover 75 % Las Vegas Sports Betting 57 % Matt Severance 64 % Jason La Canfora 63 %

Spread
Money
Total
-6.5 -115
-329
O155.5 -110
6.5 -105
266
U155.5 -110


SPREAD
Michigan State -6.5 (-115)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Paul Biagioli W%: 51 ROI: -2 Andrew Jett W%: 49 ROI: -8 Cameron Picks and parlays W%: 50 ROI: -5 Aengus Moorehead W%: 48 ROI: -5 Ashley Olsen W%: 50 ROI: -5 Lock Mamba W%: 52 ROI: -0 Payton Shanks W%: 50 ROI: -5 Oliver Zivic W%: 55 ROI: 2 Stephen Nover W%: 50 ROI: -6 Dan Kaiser W%: 53 ROI: -4 Las Vegas Sports Betting W%: 49 ROI: -6 Picks 4 Dayzzz W%: 43 ROI: -21 Pickwise W%: 57 ROI: 8

SPREAD
Iowa 6.5 (-105)
AVG SPREAD W%: 46 ROI: -13
Tony Sink W%: 49 ROI: -6 Craig Trapp W%: 49 ROI: -5 Sean Higgs W%: 45 ROI: -13 Matt Severance W%: 55 ROI: -6 Steve Merril W%: 50 ROI: -5 Anders Picks W%: 29 ROI: -43



MONEY
Michigan State -329
AVG MONEY W%: 68 ROI: -1
LVSB BIG Favorites W%: 68 ROI: -1

MONEY
Iowa 266
AVG MONEY W%: 29 ROI: -43
Anders Picks W%: 29 ROI: -43

TOTAL
UNDER 155.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 48 ROI: -8
Jason La Canfora W%: 47 ROI: -7 Chip Patterson W%: 47 ROI: -11 Payton Shanks W%: 50 ROI: -5

TOTAL
OVER 155.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -3
Bob Bafle W%: 50 ROI: -3