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Sunday night’s Elite Eight showdown promises to deliver, and the top-seeded Auburn Tigers head in as clear favorites, laying between 4.5 and 5.5 points across most sportsbooks.

The Tigers have been battle-tested all season, playing the second-toughest schedule in the nation and still managing to post an impressive 31-5 straight-up record. Even more telling is the way they’ve won — 27 of those 31 victories have come by five points or more, with an average winning margin of 14.3 points. That’s the sign of a team that not only wins, but dominates.

On the flip side, Michigan State has been flirting with trouble from beyond the arc all year long. The Spartans rank a dismal 318th nationally in three-point shooting at just 31.1%. Auburn’s defense, however, is built to expose that flaw — they rank seventh in the country in three-point defense, holding opponents to a stingy 29.6% from deep.

Turnovers could also play a big role here. Auburn is one of the best in the country at protecting the basketball, ranking seventh in turnover rate at just 13.2%. If they continue to value possessions and clamp down defensively, especially around the perimeter, Auburn should be in full control. Take Auburn ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 30th 2025 5:05 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Michigan State vs Auburn with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Jimmy Boyd 86 % Kevin Erickson 61 % Kevin Erickson 61 % Kevin Erickson 61 % Jesse Schule 60 % Bryan Power 60 % Michael Briggs 60 % LVSB BIG Favorites 86 % Stephen Nover 58 % Frank Sawyer 100 % Dwayne Bryant 78 % Robert Ferringo 67 % Ben Burns 63 % Ron Romanelli 57 % Sean Higgs 62 %

Spread
Money
Total
5.5 -115
205
O147.0 -110
-5.5 -105
-245
U147.0 -110


SPREAD
Michigan State 5.5 (-115)
AVG SPREAD W%: 48 ROI: -9
David Picks and parlays W%: 49 ROI: -6 Marc Lawrence W%: 46 ROI: -11 Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Jesse Schule W%: 50 ROI: -10 Andrew Jett W%: 49 ROI: -8 Michael Briggs W%: 51 ROI: -2 Frank Sawyer W%: 44 ROI: -20 Josh Nagel W%: 47 ROI: -11

SPREAD
Auburn -5.5 (-105)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Parlay's Pundit W%: 49 ROI: -7 Aengus Moorehead W%: 48 ROI: -6 Ben Burns W%: 55 ROI: -0 Chris Ruffolo W%: 50 ROI: -6 Ron Romanelli W%: 50 ROI: -4 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -6 Dan Kaiser W%: 52 ROI: -4 Chad Hartsock W%: 50 ROI: -5 AJ Hoffman W%: 50 ROI: -6 Robert Ferringo W%: 52 ROI: -1 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Jimmy Boyd W%: 51 ROI: -2 Calvin King W%: 50 ROI: -5 Las Vegas Sports Betting W%: 49 ROI: -6 Pickwise W%: 49 ROI: -7



MONEY
Michigan State 205
AVG MONEY W%: 48 ROI: -9
Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Josh Nagel W%: 47 ROI: -11

MONEY
Auburn -245
AVG MONEY W%: 59 ROI: -5
Bryan Power W%: 49 ROI: -8 LVSB BIG Favorites W%: 68 ROI: -1

TOTAL
UNDER 147.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -6
Jason La Canfora W%: 47 ROI: -8 Parlay's Pundit W%: 49 ROI: -7 Action Bet Covers W%: 49 ROI: -7 Sean Higgs W%: 47 ROI: -10 Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Oliver Zivic W%: 52 ROI: -3 Chad Hartsock W%: 50 ROI: -5 LVSB Total W%: 47 ROI: -10 Stephen Nover W%: 50 ROI: -6 Dwayne Bryant W%: 50 ROI: -5 ASA wins W%: 48 ROI: -10 Big Mike Tompkins W%: 53 ROI: 1 Alex Smart W%: 49 ROI: -8 Mike Tierney W%: 51 ROI: -4

TOTAL
OVER 147.0 (-110)





Michigan State picks vs Auburn picks last 5 games