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The Sacramento Kings completely dominated their season series against the Dallas Mavericks, sweeping them 3-0 with convincing wins of 110-100, a thrilling 129-128 overtime victory, and most recently a 122-98 blowout. As we shift into a more high-pressure setting, I find myself siding with the Kings again, especially considering the matchup dynamics and recent form of both squads. When looking at the overall talent and chemistry, Sacramento’s core trio of DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, and Domantas Sabonis offers a more reliable and balanced attack, especially on their home court.
On the flip side, the Mavericks raise a big question mark—where are their points going to come from when it matters most? Dallas has been inconsistent on offense, having scored under 105 points in four of their last five games. That’s not the kind of momentum you want heading into a postseason-caliber matchup. Add to that Sacramento’s significant rebounding edge (ranking 6th in rebound rate compared to Dallas at 25th), and the Kings have a clear advantage in second-chance opportunities and overall possession control. If Dallas struggles to find a rhythm, Sacramento has all the tools to gradually pull away and cover a modest spread in what could end up being a two-possession win. Take Sacramento ATS
On the flip side, the Mavericks raise a big question mark—where are their points going to come from when it matters most? Dallas has been inconsistent on offense, having scored under 105 points in four of their last five games. That’s not the kind of momentum you want heading into a postseason-caliber matchup. Add to that Sacramento’s significant rebounding edge (ranking 6th in rebound rate compared to Dallas at 25th), and the Kings have a clear advantage in second-chance opportunities and overall possession control. If Dallas struggles to find a rhythm, Sacramento has all the tools to gradually pull away and cover a modest spread in what could end up being a two-possession win. Take Sacramento ATS
NBA Basketball Picks
Wednesday, April 16th 2025 10:15 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Picks
Wednesday, April 16th 2025 10:15 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Brian Bitler 57 % Guy Bruhn 57 % Chris Ruffolo 58 % HEdge Admin 63 % Joseph D'Amico 67 % Mark Ruelle 56 % Smart Money Sports 68 % Oskeim Sports 57 % Your Daily Capper 72 % Sean Higgs 55 % Jim Feist 64 %
Spread
Money
Total
Dallas Mavericks
Sacramento Kings SPREAD
Dallas Mavericks 6.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
SPREAD
Sacramento Kings -6.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Sean Higgs
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Guy Bruhn
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Mark Ruelle
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Peter Tran
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Ashley Olsen
W%: 48
ROI: -9
HEdge Admin
W%: 66
ROI: 25
Rocky Atkinson
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Joseph D'Amico
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Liev Jackson
W%: 46
ROI: -10
Seth Orlemann
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Billy Coleman
W%: 47
ROI: -12
Mark Zinno
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
MONEY
Dallas Mavericks 208
MONEY
Sacramento Kings -248 AVG MONEY W%: 55 ROI: -0
Justin Ziolkowski
W%: 55
ROI: 2
Your Daily Capper
W%: 56
ROI: -2
TOTAL
UNDER 214.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 48 ROI: -10
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Jim Feist
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Andy Fanelli
W%: 43
ROI: -19
Seth Orlemann
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Oskeim Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -12
TOTAL
OVER 214.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -6
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
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