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This game has seen a significant line movement, with Houston opening as one-point favorites but now sitting as 3.5-point underdogs. However, this shift wasn’t driven by heavy betting action but rather by the announcement that Patrick Mahomes is expected to play despite his ankle injury. The real value lies in taking the Texans with more than a field goal, as Kansas City has developed a pattern of close wins rather than dominant performances. In their last five victories, four were decided by three points or fewer, and those wins came against weaker opponents like the Panthers, Raiders, and Broncos. With Mahomes likely limited in his mobility due to his ankle, his usual ability to extend plays and scramble for key conversions will be diminished. Instead, expect him to throw the ball away under pressure, cutting down on Kansas City's offensive effectiveness. Meanwhile, the Texans are still in the thick of the playoff hunt, and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has a fully healthy Nico Collins back in the lineup, as evidenced by their two touchdown connections last week. Houston’s offense is trending upward, and their urgency to solidify playoff positioning makes them a dangerous underdog. Kansas City may have an impressive record, but their offense hasn’t been blowing teams out. Look for this game to stay competitive, with Houston covering the spread in what could be another close contest. Take Houston ATS
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, December 21st 2024 1:00 PM
Finished
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, December 21st 2024 1:00 PM
Finished
NFL Football Cappers Picks for Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Adam Silverstein 75 % Sports Guy 67 % Chris Macero 57 % Chris Piper 57 % Brian Bitler 71 % David Racey 54 % Black Widow 71 % Steve Janus 60 %
Spread
Money
Total
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs SPREAD
Houston Texans 3.0 (-105) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -8
R.J. White
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Will Brinson
W%: 46
ROI: -13
Larry Hartstein (The Maestro)
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Payton Shanks
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Garrett Beaverson
W%: 46
ROI: -13
Shane Mickle
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Paul Biagioli
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Trent Pruitt
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Don Buster
W%: 50
ROI: -8
Brad Francis
W%: 52
ROI: -8
Brian Bitler
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Craig Trapp
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Scott Spreitzer
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Jimmy Boyd
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Black Widow
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Weston Stradtman
W%: 55
ROI: 4
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Paramount Sports
W%: 25
ROI: -53
SPREAD
Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (-115) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -6
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Pete Prisco
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Dave Richard
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Guy Bruhn
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Andrew Wilsher
W%: 35
ROI: -32
Hitman Picks
W%: 58
ROI: 11
Kevin Thomas
W%: 51
ROI: -0
Hunter Price
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Mad Russian
W%: 41
ROI: -22
Adam Silverstein
W%: 55
ROI: 5
MONEY
Houston Texans 157 AVG MONEY W%: 48 ROI: -5
MONEY
Kansas City Chiefs -180
TOTAL
UNDER 42.5 (-105)
AVG UNDER W%: 47 ROI: -11
Payton Shanks
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Andrew Wilsher
W%: 35
ROI: -32
Steve Fezzik
W%: 55
ROI: 0
Sports Guy
W%: 46
ROI: -12
Chris Macero
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Chris Piper
W%: 47
ROI: -10
TOTAL
OVER 42.5 (-115)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -3
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Trent Pruitt
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Paul Leiner
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Steve Janus
W%: 52
ROI: 3
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