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There’s a popular narrative that the Kansas City Chiefs have been coasting through the regular season, keeping games closer than necessary and saving their best for the playoffs. However, this theory doesn’t hold much water. The Chiefs only managed to win four of their 15 games this season by more than eight points. If they could dominate every game by 20, they would. Meanwhile, the Texans delivered the biggest surprise of the Wild Card round, not only winning as underdogs but doing so by a dominant 20-point margin.
Under defensive-minded head coach DeMeco Ryans, Houston is as prepared as any team can be when facing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Texans' defense shined against Justin Herbert and the Chargers, holding them to just 12 points and forcing four interceptions. This shows they can handle elite quarterbacks. On the flip side, Kansas City is dealing with depth issues at wide receiver, with three of their top pass-catchers on injured reserve.
Houston’s ground game, led by Joe Mixon, is also superior to Kansas City’s rushing attack, and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has shown enough poise to handle the playoff pressure. Given the Chiefs’ tendency to win close games all season, laying eight points feels like too much. The Texans are well-positioned to cover the spread, if not pull off another upset. Take Houston ATS
Under defensive-minded head coach DeMeco Ryans, Houston is as prepared as any team can be when facing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Texans' defense shined against Justin Herbert and the Chargers, holding them to just 12 points and forcing four interceptions. This shows they can handle elite quarterbacks. On the flip side, Kansas City is dealing with depth issues at wide receiver, with three of their top pass-catchers on injured reserve.
Houston’s ground game, led by Joe Mixon, is also superior to Kansas City’s rushing attack, and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has shown enough poise to handle the playoff pressure. Given the Chiefs’ tendency to win close games all season, laying eight points feels like too much. The Texans are well-positioned to cover the spread, if not pull off another upset. Take Houston ATS
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, January 18th 2025 4:30 PM
Finished
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, January 18th 2025 4:30 PM
Finished
NFL Football Cappers Picks for Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Dquan Picks 60 % Marc Lawrence 100 % Dquan Picks 60 % Ben Burns 61 % Porter Picks 67 % Porter Picks 67 % AJ Hoffman 63 % AJ Hoffman 63 % Betting With Bush 67 % Ben Burns 61 % Wayne Root 64 % Vegas Insider 57 % Vegas Insider 57 % Jeff Ma 67 % Bob Bafle 64 % Pete Prisco 75 % Smart Money Sports 59 % Paul Biagioli 71 % The Gold Sheet 67 %
Spread
Money
Total
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs SPREAD
Houston Texans 9.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Tony Sink
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Andrew Jett
W%: 49
ROI: -7
The Gold Sheet
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Larry Hartstein (The Maestro)
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Luke Lindholm
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Professor MJ
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Randy Chambers
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Ben Burns
W%: 55
ROI: 0
Paul Biagioli
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Will Brinson
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Corey Scott
W%: 52
ROI: -0
August Young
W%: 54
ROI: 2
Spartan
W%: 44
ROI: -17
Kevin Thomas
W%: 51
ROI: -1
Info Plays
W%: 50
ROI: -3
AJ Hoffman
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Northcoast Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Pickwise
W%: 61
ROI: 17
Zack Cimini
W%: 53
ROI: 2
Hammerin Hank
W%: 54
ROI: -0
Porter Picks
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Sports Analytics 24/7
W%: 49
ROI: -9
Jimmy Adams
W%: 46
ROI: -14
Cousin Sal
W%: 40
ROI: -24
SPREAD
Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 47 ROI: -11
Pete Prisco
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Sean Higgs
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Micah Roberts
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Trent Pruitt
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Dave Richard
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Colin Cowherd
W%: 40
ROI: -24
Scott Spreitzer
W%: 50
ROI: -7
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Hunter Price
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Jason Weeds
W%: 43
ROI: -20
Wayne Root
W%: 46
ROI: -13
Vegas Insider
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Jeff Ma
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Bob Bafle
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Nick Kostos
W%: 23
ROI: -56
Sia Nejad
W%: 44
ROI: -16
Adam Silverstein
W%: 55
ROI: 4
Teddy Covers
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Dquan Picks
W%: 49
ROI: -11
Picks 4 Dayzzz
W%: 40
ROI: -26
Action Bet Covers
W%: 50
ROI: -4
MONEY
Houston Texans 422
MONEY
Kansas City Chiefs -600 AVG MONEY W%: 48 ROI: -11
Marc Lawrence
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Dquan Picks
W%: 49
ROI: -11
TOTAL
UNDER 41.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -4
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Luke Lindholm
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Gianni the Greek
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Corey Scott
W%: 52
ROI: -0
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Jimmy Boyd
W%: 50
ROI: -4
AJ Hoffman
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Vegas Insider
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Smart Money Sports
W%: 47
ROI: -9
The Sharp
W%: 54
ROI: 5
Porter Picks
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Betting With Bush
W%: 50
ROI: -5
TOTAL
OVER 41.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Ben Burns
W%: 55
ROI: 0
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Trent Pruitt
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Billy Coleman
W%: 49
ROI: -9
Northcoast Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Ziti Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8
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