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There’s a popular narrative that the Kansas City Chiefs have been coasting through the regular season, keeping games closer than necessary and saving their best for the playoffs. However, this theory doesn’t hold much water. The Chiefs only managed to win four of their 15 games this season by more than eight points. If they could dominate every game by 20, they would. Meanwhile, the Texans delivered the biggest surprise of the Wild Card round, not only winning as underdogs but doing so by a dominant 20-point margin.
Under defensive-minded head coach DeMeco Ryans, Houston is as prepared as any team can be when facing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Texans' defense shined against Justin Herbert and the Chargers, holding them to just 12 points and forcing four interceptions. This shows they can handle elite quarterbacks. On the flip side, Kansas City is dealing with depth issues at wide receiver, with three of their top pass-catchers on injured reserve.
Houston’s ground game, led by Joe Mixon, is also superior to Kansas City’s rushing attack, and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has shown enough poise to handle the playoff pressure. Given the Chiefs’ tendency to win close games all season, laying eight points feels like too much. The Texans are well-positioned to cover the spread, if not pull off another upset. Take Houston ATS
Under defensive-minded head coach DeMeco Ryans, Houston is as prepared as any team can be when facing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The Texans' defense shined against Justin Herbert and the Chargers, holding them to just 12 points and forcing four interceptions. This shows they can handle elite quarterbacks. On the flip side, Kansas City is dealing with depth issues at wide receiver, with three of their top pass-catchers on injured reserve.
Houston’s ground game, led by Joe Mixon, is also superior to Kansas City’s rushing attack, and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has shown enough poise to handle the playoff pressure. Given the Chiefs’ tendency to win close games all season, laying eight points feels like too much. The Texans are well-positioned to cover the spread, if not pull off another upset. Take Houston ATS
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, January 18th 2025 4:30 PM
Finished
NFL Football Picks
Saturday, January 18th 2025 4:30 PM
Finished
NFL Football Cappers Picks for Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Pickwise 100 % Sean Higgs 100 % Jason La Canfora 58 % Hunter Price 100 % Aengus Moorehead 57 % August Young 67 % Spartan 100 % Picks 4 Dayzzz 59 % Betting With Bush 71 % Ron Romanelli 56 % Vegas Insider 63 % Vegas Insider 63 % Tony Sink 67 % Smart Money Sports 57 % Paul Biagioli 55 % Trent Pruitt 75 % Trent Pruitt 75 % Larry Hartstein (The Maestro) 75 %
Spread
Money
Total
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs SPREAD
Houston Texans 9.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Tony Sink
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Andrew Jett
W%: 49
ROI: -8
The Gold Sheet
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Larry Hartstein (The Maestro)
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Luke Lindholm
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Professor MJ
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Randy Chambers
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Ben Burns
W%: 56
ROI: 0
Paul Biagioli
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Will Brinson
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Corey Scott
W%: 51
ROI: -1
August Young
W%: 54
ROI: 2
Spartan
W%: 43
ROI: -19
Kevin Thomas
W%: 50
ROI: -2
Info Plays
W%: 50
ROI: -2
AJ Hoffman
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Northcoast Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Pickwise
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Zack Cimini
W%: 53
ROI: 2
Hammerin Hank
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Porter Picks
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Sports Analytics 24/7
W%: 49
ROI: -9
Jimmy Adams
W%: 47
ROI: -12
Cousin Sal
W%: 50
ROI: -6
SPREAD
Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 47 ROI: -11
Pete Prisco
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Sean Higgs
W%: 47
ROI: -9
Micah Roberts
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Dave Richard
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Colin Cowherd
W%: 39
ROI: -25
Scott Spreitzer
W%: 50
ROI: -8
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Hunter Price
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 48
ROI: -5
Jason Weeds
W%: 42
ROI: -21
Wayne Root
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Vegas Insider
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Jeff Ma
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Bob Bafle
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Nick Kostos
W%: 20
ROI: -62
Sia Nejad
W%: 46
ROI: -14
Adam Silverstein
W%: 55
ROI: 4
Teddy Covers
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Dquan Picks
W%: 52
ROI: -6
Picks 4 Dayzzz
W%: 46
ROI: -13
Action Bet Covers
W%: 48
ROI: -7
MONEY
Houston Texans 422
MONEY
Kansas City Chiefs -600 AVG MONEY W%: 49 ROI: -9
Marc Lawrence
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Dquan Picks
W%: 52
ROI: -6
TOTAL
UNDER 41.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 51 ROI: -3
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Luke Lindholm
W%: 53
ROI: -1
Gianni the Greek
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Corey Scott
W%: 51
ROI: -1
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Jimmy Boyd
W%: 51
ROI: -3
AJ Hoffman
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Vegas Insider
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Smart Money Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -7
The Sharp
W%: 56
ROI: 8
Porter Picks
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Betting With Bush
W%: 51
ROI: -3
TOTAL
OVER 41.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Ben Burns
W%: 56
ROI: 0
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Billy Coleman
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Northcoast Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Jason La Canfora
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Ziti Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8
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