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In their recent outings, the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Bowling Green Falcons have shown strikingly similar offensive production. Over their last four games, the Red Wolves are averaging 26.5 points per game, while the Falcons are close behind at 26.0 points per game. Despite their comparable scoring averages, a deeper dive into quarterback play reveals a notable difference in performance levels when it comes to finding the end zone.

Arkansas State’s Jaylen Raynor has been on fire recently, throwing for six touchdowns against just one interception over his last two games. His efficiency and ability to capitalize in key moments have been a significant factor in the Red Wolves' offensive success. In contrast, Bowling Green’s Connor Bazelak has been less consistent, recording five touchdown passes and one interception over his last four games—a solid performance but lacking the same recent spark as Raynor.

Given these trends, the Red Wolves look like a strong play, especially with the 8.5 points they’re getting. Their quarterback is in better form, and their offense has been keeping pace with Bowling Green’s. For those looking to take a bigger swing, a small wager on the moneyline for an outright Arkansas State win could offer excellent value. Expect the Red Wolves to cover the spread and potentially pull off an upset in this matchup. Take Arkansas State ATS


NCAA Football Picks
Thursday, December 26th 2024 9:00 PM
Finished

NCAA Football Cappers Picks for Arkansas State vs Bowling Green with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


David Racey 57 % AJ Hoffman 63 % Skip Snow 71 % Skip Snow 71 % Caleb Wilfinger 58 % Paul Leiner 56 % Steve Merril 71 % Your Daily Capper 55 % Doug Kezirian 71 % Doug Kezirian 71 % Noah Parker 70 % Noah Parker 70 % Wayne Root 62 %

Spread
Money
Total
10.0 -108
310
O53.5 -110
-10.0 -112
-404
U53.5 -110


SPREAD
Arkansas State 10.0 (-108)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -7
Arthur Reyes W%: 48 ROI: -10 Ashley Olsen W%: 49 ROI: -6 Wayne Root W%: 46 ROI: -12 Ziti Sports W%: 48 ROI: -8 Matt Severance W%: 55 ROI: -6 Mike Tierney W%: 51 ROI: -3

SPREAD
Bowling Green -10.0 (-112)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Josh Schonwald W%: 49 ROI: -4 Jake Allmann W%: 50 ROI: -7 Doug Kezirian W%: 48 ROI: -8 Paul Bovi W%: 49 ROI: -6 Andy Lang W%: 53 ROI: -7 Bosun Akinpelu W%: 51 ROI: -4 AJ Hoffman W%: 52 ROI: -1 Chris Ruffolo W%: 50 ROI: -6 Skip Snow W%: 46 ROI: -12 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -7 Paul Leiner W%: 50 ROI: -5 Dmoose W%: 52 ROI: -1 Goodfella W%: 53 ROI: -4 Noah Parker W%: 47 ROI: -10 Caleb Wilfinger W%: 50 ROI: -3 Your Daily Capper W%: 55 ROI: -2 Vegas Insider W%: 49 ROI: -6



MONEY
Arkansas State 310

MONEY
Bowling Green -404
AVG MONEY W%: 53 ROI: -7
Andy Lang W%: 53 ROI: -7

TOTAL
UNDER 53.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -4
David Racey W%: 51 ROI: -3 Gianni the Greek W%: 49 ROI: -5

TOTAL
OVER 53.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -6
Doug Kezirian W%: 48 ROI: -8 Shane Mickle W%: 50 ROI: -4 Arthur Reyes W%: 48 ROI: -10 Skip Snow W%: 46 ROI: -12 Noah Parker W%: 47 ROI: -10 William Burns W%: 56 ROI: 3 Steve Merril W%: 51 ROI: -4