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The Mississippi State Bulldogs have been a respectable defensive team this season, but their struggles against the three-point shot could prove costly against an Alabama offense built to exploit those weaknesses.
Mississippi State ranks near the bottom nationally in defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to shoot 36.0% from beyond the arc (296th in the country) while also ranking 310th in opponent three-point attempt rate (.433). This means teams are not only getting plenty of opportunities from deep but also converting at an efficient clip.
That spells trouble against Alabama, a team that thrives on perimeter shooting. The Crimson Tide rank 34th in three-point attempt rate (.467) and while their overall accuracy (34.2%) isn’t elite, they have been significantly more efficient in conference play.
In SEC matchups, Alabama has shot 37.1% from three-point range (3rd in the conference) and a blistering 58.8% from two-point range (1st in the SEC), making them one of the most efficient offenses in the league. On the other hand, Mississippi State has struggled to generate consistent offense, hitting just 29.3% of its three-pointers (14th in the SEC) despite being strong inside the arc at 55.1% (2nd in the conference).
This matchup already played out once this season, with Alabama torching Mississippi State from deep, going 15-for-31 from three-point range. If the Bulldogs fail to adjust defensively, Alabama’s high-volume, high-efficiency offense could overwhelm them once again. Expect the Crimson Tide to take full advantage of open perimeter looks and push the tempo to keep Mississippi State’s defense on its heels. Take Alabama ATS
Mississippi State ranks near the bottom nationally in defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to shoot 36.0% from beyond the arc (296th in the country) while also ranking 310th in opponent three-point attempt rate (.433). This means teams are not only getting plenty of opportunities from deep but also converting at an efficient clip.
That spells trouble against Alabama, a team that thrives on perimeter shooting. The Crimson Tide rank 34th in three-point attempt rate (.467) and while their overall accuracy (34.2%) isn’t elite, they have been significantly more efficient in conference play.
In SEC matchups, Alabama has shot 37.1% from three-point range (3rd in the conference) and a blistering 58.8% from two-point range (1st in the SEC), making them one of the most efficient offenses in the league. On the other hand, Mississippi State has struggled to generate consistent offense, hitting just 29.3% of its three-pointers (14th in the SEC) despite being strong inside the arc at 55.1% (2nd in the conference).
This matchup already played out once this season, with Alabama torching Mississippi State from deep, going 15-for-31 from three-point range. If the Bulldogs fail to adjust defensively, Alabama’s high-volume, high-efficiency offense could overwhelm them once again. Expect the Crimson Tide to take full advantage of open perimeter looks and push the tempo to keep Mississippi State’s defense on its heels. Take Alabama ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Tuesday, February 25th 2025 9:00 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Tuesday, February 25th 2025 9:00 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Mississippi State vs Alabama with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Platinum Plays 86 % Easy Money Sports 67 % Jimmy Adams 86 % Cajun Sports 100 % The Viking 60 % Caleb Wilfinger 55 %
Spread
Money
Total
Mississippi State
Alabama SPREAD
Mississippi State 8.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -5
Tony Sink
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 49
ROI: -5
SPREAD
Alabama -8.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
The Viking
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Jake Allmann
W%: 49
ROI: -8
Craig Trapp
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Randy Chambers
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Platinum Plays
W%: 48
ROI: -10
Easy Money Sports
W%: 53
ROI: 2
Huddle Up Sports
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Brad Francis
W%: 51
ROI: -8
Jimmy Adams
W%: 46
ROI: -14
Cajun Sports
W%: 50
ROI: -7
MONEY
Mississippi State 320
MONEY
Alabama -400
TOTAL
UNDER 174.5 (-110)
TOTAL
OVER 174.5 (-110)
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