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While the betting public is likely to lean heavily toward Golden State in this matchup, there’s often value in fading that narrative — and this could be one of those moments. The Warriors are coming off an intense Play-In win where they leaned heavily on their veteran trio, particularly Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler, who poured in 37 and 38 points respectively. But with age comes recovery concerns, and after logging major minutes in a high-stakes game, expecting their legs to be fresh just a couple of days later is a risky proposition.
Golden State’s biggest issue heading into this series is how they’ll handle Alperen Sengun. Draymond Green is a tough defender, but at his size and age, asking him to consistently battle Sengun in the post could wear him down quickly. The alternative — pairing Green with Kevon Looney — would likely clog the offensive flow, something the Warriors can’t afford with fewer knockdown shooters on the roster than in years past.
Houston’s youth and length on the wings should make life difficult for Golden State’s perimeter shooters like Brandin Podziemski and Buddy Hield. The Rockets have the legs to chase and contest, and they’ve proven capable of doing so all season. This is a hungry team with momentum and the matchup edge inside. Expect Houston to take full advantage of a worn-down Warriors squad and come away with a statement win in Game 1. Take Houston ATS
Golden State’s biggest issue heading into this series is how they’ll handle Alperen Sengun. Draymond Green is a tough defender, but at his size and age, asking him to consistently battle Sengun in the post could wear him down quickly. The alternative — pairing Green with Kevon Looney — would likely clog the offensive flow, something the Warriors can’t afford with fewer knockdown shooters on the roster than in years past.
Houston’s youth and length on the wings should make life difficult for Golden State’s perimeter shooters like Brandin Podziemski and Buddy Hield. The Rockets have the legs to chase and contest, and they’ve proven capable of doing so all season. This is a hungry team with momentum and the matchup edge inside. Expect Houston to take full advantage of a worn-down Warriors squad and come away with a statement win in Game 1. Take Houston ATS
NBA Basketball Picks
Sunday, April 20th 2025 9:30 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Picks
Sunday, April 20th 2025 9:30 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Roz Wins 57 % Las Vegas Sports Betting 57 % Filip Tomic 60 % Teddy Covers 56 % Kosty Insider Plays 57 % Chris Ruffolo 56 % Paul Biagioli 62 % Executive 100 %
Spread
Money
Total
Golden State Warriors
Houston Rockets SPREAD
Golden State Warriors 1.5 (-107) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Marco D'Angelo
W%: 52
ROI: -6
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Executive
W%: 50
ROI: -7
SPREAD
Houston Rockets -1.5 (-112) AVG SPREAD W%: 52 ROI: -2
Parlay's Pundit
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Randy Chambers
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Paul Biagioli
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Peter Tran
W%: 49
ROI: -6
HEdge Admin
W%: 65
ROI: 22
Roz Wins
W%: 53
ROI: 1
Las Vegas Sports Betting
W%: 49
ROI: -6
MONEY
Golden State Warriors 105 AVG MONEY W%: 50 ROI: -4
MONEY
Houston Rockets -125 AVG MONEY W%: 47 ROI: -9
Liev Jackson
W%: 46
ROI: -10
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -7
TOTAL
UNDER 213.0 (-108)
AVG UNDER W%: 48 ROI: -8
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Filip Tomic
W%: 45
ROI: -12
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -6
TOTAL
OVER 213.0 (-112)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -6
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Nathan Beighle
W%: 49
ROI: -6
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