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This sets up as another classic "fade the public" spot, with most bettors jumping on the narrative of Steph Curry returning home for Game 3. However, it’s important to realize this isn't the same dominant Warriors squad from their championship runs. At 37 years old, Curry simply can’t carry the team on his back every night.
The bigger storyline is Jimmy Butler’s injury. With the series tied 1-1 and another game still to be played in San Francisco, there’s a strong chance Butler sits out Game 3 to heal up. If that happens, it puts even more pressure on Steve Kerr to adjust — likely forcing him to turn back to Jonathan Kuminga, who was recently benched. Kuminga struggled when reinserted in Game 2, jacking up 12 shots but managing just 11 points, showcasing why Kerr moved away from him in the first place.
Meanwhile, the supporting cast of Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, and Trayce Jackson-Davis doesn’t bring enough firepower to ease the burden on Curry. Houston, now settled after shaking off early playoff nerves, will be able to throw fresh, aggressive defenders at Steph all game long. Expect the Rockets’ young legs, depth, and energy to be the difference again as they cover the number in Game 3. Take Houston ATS
The bigger storyline is Jimmy Butler’s injury. With the series tied 1-1 and another game still to be played in San Francisco, there’s a strong chance Butler sits out Game 3 to heal up. If that happens, it puts even more pressure on Steve Kerr to adjust — likely forcing him to turn back to Jonathan Kuminga, who was recently benched. Kuminga struggled when reinserted in Game 2, jacking up 12 shots but managing just 11 points, showcasing why Kerr moved away from him in the first place.
Meanwhile, the supporting cast of Moses Moody, Brandin Podziemski, and Trayce Jackson-Davis doesn’t bring enough firepower to ease the burden on Curry. Houston, now settled after shaking off early playoff nerves, will be able to throw fresh, aggressive defenders at Steph all game long. Expect the Rockets’ young legs, depth, and energy to be the difference again as they cover the number in Game 3. Take Houston ATS
NBA Basketball Picks
Saturday, April 26th 2025 8:30 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Picks
Saturday, April 26th 2025 8:30 PM
Finished
NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
HEdge Admin 58 % Wayne Root 65 % Tim Donaghy 63 % Paul Biagioli 64 % Parlay's Pundit 71 % Primetime Sports Picks 71 % Trent Pruitt 55 % Trent Pruitt 55 % Kosty Insider Plays 83 % Peter Tran 67 % Caleb Wilfinger 57 %
Spread
Money
Total
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors SPREAD
Houston Rockets 2.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Paul Biagioli
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Randy Chambers
W%: 48
ROI: -7
The Gold Sheet
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Wayne Root
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Big Mike Tompkins
W%: 52
ROI: -0
Las Vegas Sports Betting
W%: 49
ROI: -7
ASA wins
W%: 48
ROI: -11
Payton Shanks
W%: 50
ROI: -6
HEdge Admin
W%: 62
ROI: 16
SPREAD
Golden State Warriors -2.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Parlay's Pundit
W%: 50
ROI: -7
Peter Tran
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Liev Jackson
W%: 46
ROI: -10
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Kosty Insider Plays
W%: 54
ROI: 5
Zack Cimini
W%: 53
ROI: 2
MONEY
Golden State Warriors -127 AVG MONEY W%: 52 ROI: -3
Payton Shanks
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Steve Fezzik
W%: 54
ROI: -1
TOTAL
UNDER 205.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -5
TOTAL
OVER 205.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -4
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Tim Donaghy
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Primetime Sports Picks
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Insider Sports Report
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Robert Ferringo
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Minnesota Timberwolves