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Despite their strong basketball legacies, Duke and Alabama have only squared off once before, with the Blue Devils claiming the win back in 2013. Alabama lit up the scoreboard against BYU in their last outing, but replicating that kind of offensive performance against Duke’s lockdown defense will be a tall order. The Blue Devils rank fifth nationally in defensive efficiency, holding opponents to under 40% shooting from the field and just 31% from beyond the arc.

Alabama's inconsistency shows in their recent losses to Florida—twice in their last 10 games by margins of 5 and 22 points—against a Gators squad ranked ninth in defensive efficiency. That should raise red flags as they now face a Duke team that's arguably even tougher on that end of the floor.

Alabama may have had their peak moment against BYU, but this matchup heavily favors Duke. With an average margin of victory over 21 points and KenPom projecting a spread closer to eight, the Blue Devils have the edge in both metrics and momentum. Take Duke ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Saturday, March 29th 2025 9:00 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Alabama vs Duke with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Doug Upstone 67 % Ralph Michaels 100 % Paul Biagioli 73 % James Kaylor 100 % Smart Money Sports 60 % Smart Money Sports 60 % Paul Leiner 60 % Steve Fezzik 100 % Steve Fezzik 100 % Brad Francis 61 % Frank Sawyer 100 % Jimmy Boyd 57 % Dwayne Bryant 70 % Brian Bitler 71 % Michael Clark 56 % Michael Clark 56 % ASA wins 67 % Nicky Cashin 100 % Ron Romanelli 57 % Kevin Erickson 61 % Kevin Erickson 61 % Aengus Moorehead 57 % Marco D'Angelo 56 % Fat Jack 75 % Ben Burns 67 % Fat Jack 75 % Dwayne Bryant 70 %

Spread
Money
Total
7.0 -115
260
O174.5 -110
-7.0 -105
-325
U174.5 -110


SPREAD
Alabama 7.0 (-115)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Dylan Hellebrand W%: 54 ROI: -1 Dwayne Bryant W%: 50 ROI: -5 Jimmy Adams W%: 47 ROI: -13 Tom Macrina W%: 52 ROI: -3 Ron Romanelli W%: 50 ROI: -4 Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Ben Burns W%: 55 ROI: 0 Doug Upstone W%: 50 ROI: -7 Chris Jordan W%: 46 ROI: -10 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 James Kaylor W%: 51 ROI: -5 Paul Leiner W%: 50 ROI: -5

SPREAD
Duke -7.0 (-105)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Paul Biagioli W%: 51 ROI: -2 Guy Bruhn W%: 50 ROI: -5 Michael Clark W%: 49 ROI: -5 Marco D'Angelo W%: 52 ROI: -6 Teddy Covers W%: 48 ROI: -8 Sam Avellone W%: 49 ROI: -7 Brad Francis W%: 51 ROI: -7 Jimmy Boyd W%: 51 ROI: -2 Brian Bitler W%: 52 ROI: -0 ASA wins W%: 48 ROI: -10 Nicky Cashin W%: 52 ROI: -1 Bob Bafle W%: 50 ROI: -3 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -6 Aengus Moorehead W%: 48 ROI: -5 Executive W%: 50 ROI: -7 Chip Chirimbes W%: 51 ROI: -1 Smart Money Sports W%: 48 ROI: -7 Sleepy J W%: 57 ROI: 8 Scott Spreitzer W%: 50 ROI: -8 Josh Nagel W%: 47 ROI: -11 Wayne Root W%: 45 ROI: -14



MONEY
Alabama 260

MONEY
Duke -325
AVG MONEY W%: 53 ROI: -1
Bryan Power W%: 49 ROI: -8 Fat Jack W%: 57 ROI: 5 Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -1

TOTAL
UNDER 174.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 51 ROI: -3
Arun Shiva W%: 50 ROI: -4 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Fat Jack W%: 57 ROI: 5 Ralph Michaels W%: 48 ROI: -8 Big Mike Tompkins W%: 53 ROI: 1 Mike Tierney W%: 51 ROI: -4 Smart Money Sports W%: 48 ROI: -7 Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -1

TOTAL
OVER 174.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 48 ROI: -8
Jason La Canfora W%: 47 ROI: -8 Michael Clark W%: 49 ROI: -5 David Racey W%: 51 ROI: -3 Sam Avellone W%: 49 ROI: -7 Oliver Zivic W%: 52 ROI: -2 Sean Higgs W%: 46 ROI: -11 Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 LVSB Total W%: 47 ROI: -11 Dwayne Bryant W%: 50 ROI: -5 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Frank Sawyer W%: 44 ROI: -20





Alabama picks vs Duke picks last 5 games