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Despite their strong basketball legacies, Duke and Alabama have only squared off once before, with the Blue Devils claiming the win back in 2013. Alabama lit up the scoreboard against BYU in their last outing, but replicating that kind of offensive performance against Duke’s lockdown defense will be a tall order. The Blue Devils rank fifth nationally in defensive efficiency, holding opponents to under 40% shooting from the field and just 31% from beyond the arc.

Alabama's inconsistency shows in their recent losses to Florida—twice in their last 10 games by margins of 5 and 22 points—against a Gators squad ranked ninth in defensive efficiency. That should raise red flags as they now face a Duke team that's arguably even tougher on that end of the floor.

Alabama may have had their peak moment against BYU, but this matchup heavily favors Duke. With an average margin of victory over 21 points and KenPom projecting a spread closer to eight, the Blue Devils have the edge in both metrics and momentum. Take Duke ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Saturday, March 29th 2025 9:00 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Alabama vs Duke with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Doug Upstone 56 % Chip Chirimbes 75 % Big Mike Tompkins 86 % Paul Biagioli 77 % Mike Tierney 63 % Smart Money Sports 59 % Smart Money Sports 59 % Sleepy J 100 % Steve Fezzik 60 % Steve Fezzik 60 % Brad Francis 56 % Jimmy Boyd 83 % Brian Bitler 71 % ASA wins 75 % Nicky Cashin 60 % Bob Bafle 58 % Arun Shiva 60 % Ron Romanelli 55 % Bryan Power 71 % David Racey 58 % LVSB Total 57 % Marco D'Angelo 57 % Fat Jack 75 % Executive 100 % Fat Jack 75 %

Spread
Money
Total
7.0 -115
260
O174.5 -110
-7.0 -105
-325
U174.5 -110


SPREAD
Alabama 7.0 (-115)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Dylan Hellebrand W%: 54 ROI: -1 Dwayne Bryant W%: 49 ROI: -6 Jimmy Adams W%: 47 ROI: -13 Tom Macrina W%: 53 ROI: -2 Ron Romanelli W%: 50 ROI: -4 Kevin Erickson W%: 48 ROI: -7 Ben Burns W%: 55 ROI: -1 Doug Upstone W%: 49 ROI: -8 Chris Jordan W%: 46 ROI: -10 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 James Kaylor W%: 51 ROI: -5 Paul Leiner W%: 49 ROI: -7

SPREAD
Duke -7.0 (-105)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Paul Biagioli W%: 51 ROI: -2 Guy Bruhn W%: 50 ROI: -5 Michael Clark W%: 49 ROI: -6 Marco D'Angelo W%: 52 ROI: -5 Teddy Covers W%: 48 ROI: -9 Sam Avellone W%: 49 ROI: -7 Brad Francis W%: 51 ROI: -7 Jimmy Boyd W%: 51 ROI: -2 Brian Bitler W%: 52 ROI: -0 ASA wins W%: 48 ROI: -11 Nicky Cashin W%: 51 ROI: -3 Bob Bafle W%: 50 ROI: -3 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Sports Picks Forum W%: 48 ROI: -7 Aengus Moorehead W%: 48 ROI: -6 Executive W%: 50 ROI: -6 Chip Chirimbes W%: 51 ROI: -2 Smart Money Sports W%: 48 ROI: -8 Sleepy J W%: 57 ROI: 8 Scott Spreitzer W%: 49 ROI: -8 Josh Nagel W%: 47 ROI: -11 Wayne Root W%: 45 ROI: -14



MONEY
Alabama 260

MONEY
Duke -325
AVG MONEY W%: 53 ROI: -1
Bryan Power W%: 49 ROI: -8 Fat Jack W%: 57 ROI: 5 Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -2

TOTAL
UNDER 174.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 51 ROI: -3
Arun Shiva W%: 50 ROI: -4 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Fat Jack W%: 57 ROI: 5 Ralph Michaels W%: 48 ROI: -9 Big Mike Tompkins W%: 55 ROI: 4 Mike Tierney W%: 51 ROI: -3 Smart Money Sports W%: 48 ROI: -8 Steve Fezzik W%: 54 ROI: -2

TOTAL
OVER 174.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 48 ROI: -7
Jason La Canfora W%: 47 ROI: -7 Michael Clark W%: 49 ROI: -6 David Racey W%: 51 ROI: -3 Sam Avellone W%: 49 ROI: -7 Oliver Zivic W%: 55 ROI: 3 Sean Higgs W%: 45 ROI: -13 Kevin Erickson W%: 48 ROI: -7 LVSB Total W%: 47 ROI: -10 Dwayne Bryant W%: 49 ROI: -6 Bruce Marshall W%: 48 ROI: -6 Frank Sawyer W%: 43 ROI: -20





Alabama picks vs Duke picks last 5 games