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Mount St. Mary’s delivered an impressive offensive performance in their First Four victory over American, but the reality is they’re about to face a drastically higher level of competition. Jumping from the Patriot League to battling a national powerhouse like Duke is no small leap. The Blue Devils are not just a top-five team in the country — they’ve been a dominant force, winning 26 of their last 27 games heading into this matchup. That kind of consistency is no accident.

While some uncertainty lingers surrounding the availability of star freshman Cooper Flagg and teammate Caleb Brown, Duke's depth and two-way efficiency make them formidable regardless of who's in the lineup. Offensively, they can attack in a variety of ways, and defensively, they have the personnel to disrupt and control tempo.

The game being played near Duke’s campus also adds a pseudo-home-court advantage, further tilting the scales. This program is no stranger to March’s big moments, and their seasoned coaching staff knows how to prepare for opening-round matchups. On the flip side, while Mount St. Mary’s deserves credit for earning a spot in the main bracket, their run is likely to end here. Duke’s experience, depth, and balance should overwhelm the Mountaineers early and often. Look for the Blue Devils to impose their will, cover the large spread, and cruise into the next round with a comfortable double-digit victory. Take Duke ATS


NCAA Basketball Picks
Friday, March 21st 2025 3:05 PM
Finished

NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Mount St Mary's vs Duke with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


Totals4U 57 % #1 Sports 57 % Dave Price 56 % Rob Vinciletti 75 % Chris Ruffolo 56 % Bob Konarski (BurghBets) 100 % Kevin Erickson 62 % Kevin Erickson 62 % Andrew Jett 55 %

Spread
Money
Total
32.5 -110
3122
O141.0 -110
-32.5 -110
-10248
U141.0 -110


SPREAD
Mount St Mary's 32.5 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 51 ROI: -4
Guy Bruhn W%: 50 ROI: -5 Max Turner W%: 49 ROI: -6 Justin Ziolkowski W%: 56 ROI: 4 Andrew Jett W%: 49 ROI: -8 Dave Price W%: 47 ROI: -10 Rob Vinciletti W%: 54 ROI: -0 James Kaylor W%: 51 ROI: -5

SPREAD
Duke -32.5 (-110)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Chris King W%: 50 ROI: -6 Brian Bitler W%: 52 ROI: -0 Chris Ruffolo W%: 50 ROI: -6 Randy Chambers W%: 48 ROI: -7 Drew Martin W%: 48 ROI: -7 #1 Sports W%: 54 ROI: 0



MONEY
Mount St Mary's 3122

MONEY
Duke -10248

TOTAL
UNDER 141.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -7
Bob Konarski (BurghBets) W%: 51 ROI: -4 Teddy Covers W%: 48 ROI: -8 Gregg Shaker W%: 45 ROI: -13 Totals4U W%: 51 ROI: -3

TOTAL
OVER 141.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -6
Kevin Erickson W%: 49 ROI: -6 Max Turner W%: 49 ROI: -6





Mount St Mary's picks vs Duke picks last 5 games