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Over the years, one lesson has stood out: never count out Mike Tomlin when he’s a home underdog. Regardless of the opponent’s strength, Tomlin’s Steelers have a knack for keeping games close and occasionally pulling off the upset. With Pittsburgh getting a full 3.0 points in this matchup, I’m taking the value and rolling with them.
To start, the Steelers received encouraging news on Monday’s injury report. Both wide receiver George Pickens and linebacker T.J. Watt are expected to play. This is a game-changer, as both players are arguably the most critical on their respective sides of the ball, making a significant impact on Pittsburgh’s chances.
Pittsburgh also shines in key statistical areas that could swing this game. They rank second in the NFL in turnover margin (+1.1 per game), significantly outpacing Kansas City, which ranks 12th (+0.3). Defensively, the Steelers are elite on third downs, ranking fifth (35.4%), and are respectable in red-zone defense, sitting at 13th (53.8%). Add in the ever-reliable Chris Boswell (39-42 FG, 32-32 PAT) in the kicking game, and Pittsburgh has the tools to stay competitive in what could be a tightly contested matchup against the reigning champs.
With their strong defensive metrics, clutch special teams, and the boost of playing at home, I’m backing Pittsburgh to cover—and maybe even pull off a surprise win. Take Pittsburgh ATS
To start, the Steelers received encouraging news on Monday’s injury report. Both wide receiver George Pickens and linebacker T.J. Watt are expected to play. This is a game-changer, as both players are arguably the most critical on their respective sides of the ball, making a significant impact on Pittsburgh’s chances.
Pittsburgh also shines in key statistical areas that could swing this game. They rank second in the NFL in turnover margin (+1.1 per game), significantly outpacing Kansas City, which ranks 12th (+0.3). Defensively, the Steelers are elite on third downs, ranking fifth (35.4%), and are respectable in red-zone defense, sitting at 13th (53.8%). Add in the ever-reliable Chris Boswell (39-42 FG, 32-32 PAT) in the kicking game, and Pittsburgh has the tools to stay competitive in what could be a tightly contested matchup against the reigning champs.
With their strong defensive metrics, clutch special teams, and the boost of playing at home, I’m backing Pittsburgh to cover—and maybe even pull off a surprise win. Take Pittsburgh ATS
NFL Football Picks
Wednesday, December 25th 2024 1:00 PM
Finished
NFL Football Picks
Wednesday, December 25th 2024 1:00 PM
Finished
NFL Football Cappers Picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers with Cappers winnings percentage for the last 7 days:
Matt Severance 56 % , Professor MJ 56 % , Info Plays 67 % , Jason La Canfora 63 % , Eric Pathi 33 % , Kosty Insider Plays 71 % , David Delano 29 % , Sean Higgs 75 % , Griffin Warner 60 % , Marc Lawrence 33 % , Spartan 100 % , Jimmy Adams 56 % , Jeff Michaels 45 % , The Prez 38 % , Pickwise 63 % , Pickwise 63 % , Scott Spreitzer 50 % , Smart Money Sports 35 % , Dan Kaiser 67 % , ProSportsPicks 33 % , Marc David 25 % , Ryan Dodson 69 % , Ryan Dodson 69 % , Adam Silverstein 80 % , Micah Roberts 41 % , Z Code System 50 % , Z Code System 50 % , Big Mike's Sports Network 67 % , Tony Sink 48 % , Eddie Picks and parlays 48 % , Chris Ruffolo 47 % , Wayne Root 31 % , Shane Mickle 46 % , Chris King 42 % , Tommy G 38 % , Trent Pruitt 48 % , Trent Pruitt 48 % , Andrew Wilsher 29 % , Sports Picks Forum 55 % , Andrew Wilsher 29 % , Mike Tierney 75 % , Pete Prisco 61 % , Will Brinson 44 % , Vegas Steam Line 67 % , Dave Richard 50 % , Jimmy Boyd 0 % , Black Widow 40 % , Steve Janus 100 % , The Gold Sheet 27 % , Bruce Marshall 31 % ,
Spread
Money
Total
Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers SPREAD
Kansas City Chiefs -2.0 (-109) AVG SPREAD W%: 51 ROI: -3
Z Code System
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Tony Sink
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Shane Mickle
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Chris King
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Kosty Insider Plays
W%: 58
ROI: 11
David Delano
W%: 55
ROI: 3
Spartan
W%: 44
ROI: -18
Jeff Michaels
W%: 50
ROI: -7
The Prez
W%: 54
ROI: 1
Dan Kaiser
W%: 53
ROI: -4
Adam Silverstein
W%: 55
ROI: 4
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Pete Prisco
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Dave Richard
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Steve Janus
W%: 52
ROI: 3
SPREAD
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 48 ROI: -8
The Gold Sheet
W%: 47
ROI: -9
Micah Roberts
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Trent Pruitt
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Andrew Wilsher
W%: 36
ROI: -32
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Matt Severance
W%: 55
ROI: -6
Professor MJ
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Eric Pathi
W%: 43
ROI: -11
Sean Higgs
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Griffin Warner
W%: 47
ROI: -11
Marc Lawrence
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Jimmy Adams
W%: 46
ROI: -14
Pickwise
W%: 63
ROI: 21
Scott Spreitzer
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Smart Money Sports
W%: 47
ROI: -9
Marc David
W%: 53
ROI: -0
Wayne Root
W%: 45
ROI: -15
Tommy G
W%: 50
ROI: -11
Will Brinson
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Jimmy Boyd
W%: 51
ROI: -3
MONEY
Kansas City Chiefs -130
MONEY
Pittsburgh Steelers 110 AVG MONEY W%: 49 ROI: -8
TOTAL
UNDER 45.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 51 ROI: -3
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Trent Pruitt
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Andrew Wilsher
W%: 36
ROI: -32
Vegas Steam Line
W%: 54
ROI: 1
Info Plays
W%: 52
ROI: 1
Pickwise
W%: 63
ROI: 21
Ryan Dodson
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Big Mike's Sports Network
W%: 53
ROI: 3
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -4
TOTAL
OVER 45.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -3
Z Code System
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Black Widow
W%: 51
ROI: -2
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