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Duke enters this Final Four clash having covered the spread in three of its four tournament games, while outscoring opponents by a remarkable 94-point margin. Houston, on the other hand, has gone 2-1-1 ATS in the tourney and holds a more modest +16 scoring differential.
The Blue Devils’ length and defensive versatility have caused chaos for every team they've faced so far, and that disruptive presence should once again be a factor against the Cougars. Houston’s ball security has been a critical strength throughout the season, but Duke matches that efficiency, committing very few turnovers themselves.
While Houston’s calling card has been its physical, elite-level defense, Duke has quietly outshined them on the offensive end. The Blue Devils are shooting a blistering 60 percent from the floor and nearly 50 percent from deep — numbers that put immense pressure on any defense, including Houston's. In contrast, the Cougars lack consistent scoring firepower, particularly from long range.
Even defensively, the edge leans slightly toward Duke. While Houston is holding opponents to just 37 percent shooting, the Blue Devils have been even stingier at 36 percent allowed. While the Cougars might be favored against other potential matchups, this one doesn't suit them well — Duke’s offensive versatility, combined with their length and efficiency, gives them the upper hand. Expect the Blue Devils to advance in a tight but convincing win. Take Duke ATS
The Blue Devils’ length and defensive versatility have caused chaos for every team they've faced so far, and that disruptive presence should once again be a factor against the Cougars. Houston’s ball security has been a critical strength throughout the season, but Duke matches that efficiency, committing very few turnovers themselves.
While Houston’s calling card has been its physical, elite-level defense, Duke has quietly outshined them on the offensive end. The Blue Devils are shooting a blistering 60 percent from the floor and nearly 50 percent from deep — numbers that put immense pressure on any defense, including Houston's. In contrast, the Cougars lack consistent scoring firepower, particularly from long range.
Even defensively, the edge leans slightly toward Duke. While Houston is holding opponents to just 37 percent shooting, the Blue Devils have been even stingier at 36 percent allowed. While the Cougars might be favored against other potential matchups, this one doesn't suit them well — Duke’s offensive versatility, combined with their length and efficiency, gives them the upper hand. Expect the Blue Devils to advance in a tight but convincing win. Take Duke ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Saturday, April 5th 2025 9:28 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Saturday, April 5th 2025 9:28 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Houston vs Duke with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Smart Money Sports 63 % Smart Money Sports 63 % Matt Severance 70 % Cameron Picks and parlays 65 % David Racey 59 % The Lock Club 75 % Troy Wins 71 % AJ Hoffman 100 % Doug Upstone 80 % Caleb Wilfinger 75 % Caleb Wilfinger 75 % LVSB Total 57 % Mark Ruelle 65 % Mike Tierney 56 % Bob Konarski (BurghBets) 78 % Your Daily Capper 55 % Teddy Covers 69 %
Houston
Duke SPREAD
Houston 4.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Matt Severance
W%: 56
ROI: -6
Micah Roberts
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Pickwise
W%: 49
ROI: -7
AJ Hoffman
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Brian Bitler
W%: 52
ROI: -0
Eric Pathi
W%: 43
ROI: -12
Craig Trapp
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Jimmy Adams
W%: 47
ROI: -13
Elite Sports Picks
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Oliver Zivic
W%: 54
ROI: 1
Troy Wins
W%: 57
ROI: -1
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -3
SPREAD
Duke -4.5 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -6
Cameron Picks and parlays
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Parlay's Pundit
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Mark Ruelle
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Joshua Hightower
W%: 50
ROI: -5
David Racey
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Seth Orlemann
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Dwayne Bryant
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Teddy Covers
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -6
The Lock Club
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Brad Francis
W%: 51
ROI: -8
Executive
W%: 50
ROI: -7
Bob Konarski (BurghBets)
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Josh Nagel
W%: 47
ROI: -11
MONEY
Duke -270 AVG MONEY W%: 54 ROI: -5
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Tim Doyle
W%: 51
ROI: -6
LVSB BIG Favorites
W%: 68
ROI: -1
Executive
W%: 50
ROI: -7
Your Daily Capper
W%: 56
ROI: -3
Marco D'Angelo
W%: 52
ROI: -6
TOTAL
UNDER 137.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Joshua Hightower
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Bob Bafle
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Arun Shiva
W%: 50
ROI: -4
TOTAL
OVER 137.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 49 ROI: -6
Doc's Sports
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Doug Upstone
W%: 49
ROI: -8
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -4
Seth Orlemann
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Ray Monohan
W%: 50
ROI: -3
LVSB Total
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Duke
Tennessee