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The Fighting Irish enter this matchup as slight favorites and are primed to punch their ticket to the Championship Game with a victory over Penn State. Both teams are dealing with key injury concerns, but Penn State’s losses appear more detrimental to their game plan.
Notre Dame may be without Jeremiyah Love, but Jadarian Price is more than capable of shouldering the load. Price has racked up 720 rushing yards and seven touchdowns this season, including an impressive 111-yard performance against USC. In contrast, Penn State’s potential loss of Abdul Carter could be devastating to their defense. Carter’s ability to pressure the quarterback is unmatched—he’s recorded 11 sacks, while the next-best pass-rusher on the team has just 6.5. Without Carter, Penn State’s defense may struggle to contain Notre Dame quarterback Riley Leonard.
Leonard is a dual-threat playmaker who ran for 80 yards against Georgia’s elite defense and can exploit Penn State with his mobility and passing precision. Notre Dame’s defense has also proven its toughness, holding Georgia to just 66 rushing yards in their semifinal win—a much more convincing performance compared to Penn State’s earlier victories.
Penn State quarterback Drew Allar tends to lean heavily on his tight end when pressured, a tendency that Notre Dame’s head coach Marcus Freeman will likely exploit by sending extra blitzers to force hurried throws and potential turnovers.
With a balanced offense and a defense that can neutralize Penn State’s strengths, Notre Dame is well-positioned to secure the win and advance to the Championship Game. Take Notre Dame ATS
Notre Dame may be without Jeremiyah Love, but Jadarian Price is more than capable of shouldering the load. Price has racked up 720 rushing yards and seven touchdowns this season, including an impressive 111-yard performance against USC. In contrast, Penn State’s potential loss of Abdul Carter could be devastating to their defense. Carter’s ability to pressure the quarterback is unmatched—he’s recorded 11 sacks, while the next-best pass-rusher on the team has just 6.5. Without Carter, Penn State’s defense may struggle to contain Notre Dame quarterback Riley Leonard.
Leonard is a dual-threat playmaker who ran for 80 yards against Georgia’s elite defense and can exploit Penn State with his mobility and passing precision. Notre Dame’s defense has also proven its toughness, holding Georgia to just 66 rushing yards in their semifinal win—a much more convincing performance compared to Penn State’s earlier victories.
Penn State quarterback Drew Allar tends to lean heavily on his tight end when pressured, a tendency that Notre Dame’s head coach Marcus Freeman will likely exploit by sending extra blitzers to force hurried throws and potential turnovers.
With a balanced offense and a defense that can neutralize Penn State’s strengths, Notre Dame is well-positioned to secure the win and advance to the Championship Game. Take Notre Dame ATS
NCAA Football Picks
Thursday, January 9th 2025 7:45 PM
Finished
NCAA Football Picks
Thursday, January 9th 2025 7:45 PM
Finished
NCAA Football Cappers Picks for Penn State vs Notre Dame with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Paul Biagioli 65 % Thomas Casale 57 % Nick Parsons 63 % Professional Sports Gamblers 80 % Las Vegas Sports Betting 57 % Sports Picks Forum 56 % Sean Higgs 57 % Jimmy Adams 71 % AAA Sports 80 % Matt Severance 61 % Craig Forde 55 % Craig Forde 55 % Tom Fornelli 100 % Chip Patterson 100 % Doug Upstone 67 % Mike Tierney 56 % Matt Severance 61 % Adam Silverstein 100 % Las Vegas Cris 67 % Bruce Marshall 65 %
Penn State
Notre Dame SPREAD
Penn State -1.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 48 ROI: -11
Matt Severance
W%: 56
ROI: -6
Josh Nagel
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Craig Forde
W%: 50
ROI: -4
ASA wins
W%: 48
ROI: -10
Bruce Marshall
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Jimmy Adams
W%: 46
ROI: -15
AAA Sports
W%: 53
ROI: -6
Jesse Schule
W%: 49
ROI: -11
Brandon Lang
W%: 44
ROI: -16
Wayne Root
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Ray Monohan
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Bob Bafle
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Jeff Nadu
W%: 20
ROI: -63
Your Daily Capper
W%: 55
ROI: -1
SPREAD
Notre Dame 1.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -3
Tony Sink
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Eric Cohen
W%: 55
ROI: 6
Zack Cimini
W%: 54
ROI: 2
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Paul Biagioli
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Tom Fornelli
W%: 49
ROI: -2
Chip Patterson
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Las Vegas Sports Betting
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Northcoast Sports
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Adam Silverstein
W%: 55
ROI: 4
MONEY
Penn State -115 AVG MONEY W%: 47 ROI: -10
Eddie Picks and parlays
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Bob Konarski (BurghBets)
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Mackenzie Brooks
W%: 38
ROI: -26
Smart Money Sports
W%: 47
ROI: -9
MONEY
Notre Dame -105 AVG MONEY W%: 51 ROI: -5
Thomas Casale
W%: 57
ROI: 5
Sean Higgs
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Football Jesus
W%: 52
ROI: -4
Teddy Covers
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Las Vegas Cris
W%: 54
ROI: 0
Drew Martin
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Professional Sports Gamblers
W%: 51
ROI: -6
TOTAL
UNDER 45.5 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 51 ROI: -4
David Racey
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Eric Cohen
W%: 55
ROI: 6
Kevin Dolan
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Ross Benjamin
W%: 45
ROI: -14
Erik Kuselias
W%: 48
ROI: -13
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Emory Hunt
W%: 53
ROI: 0
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Kyle Hunter
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Steve Fezzik
W%: 55
ROI: 0
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Big Mike Tompkins
W%: 59
ROI: 12
LVSB Total
W%: 46
ROI: -12
Scott Rickenbach
W%: 49
ROI: -10
Doug Upstone
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Northcoast Sports
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Matt Severance
W%: 56
ROI: -6
TOTAL
OVER 45.5 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 51 ROI: -3
Z Code System
W%: 49
ROI: -4
Nick Parsons
W%: 50
ROI: -7
Craig Forde
W%: 50
ROI: -4
David Delano
W%: 55
ROI: 3
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