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This East Region showdown on Thursday night has all the ingredients for an entertaining game, but betting against a red-hot and fully healthy Duke squad isn’t something I’m looking to do. The Blue Devils have been on a dominant tear all season long, posting a remarkable 33-3 straight-up record while outscoring opponents by a national-best margin of +21.5 points per game. That kind of dominance, especially at this stage of the season, speaks volumes.
What’s even more impressive is Duke’s performance against the spread — a strong 24-12-0 ATS mark. That’s no small feat considering how heavily the public bets on them and the fact that they’re often laying big numbers. Despite the pressure and lofty expectations, they continue to deliver — both on the scoreboard and at the betting window.
On the other side, Arizona comes in with far more question marks, largely due to the unpredictable play of Caleb Love. Love is a high-variance player — one night he can light it up for 30+, and the next, he could go ice cold and struggle to hit anything. That kind of volatility is dangerous in a high-stakes matchup, especially when facing a top-tier Duke defense that ranks among the best in the country.
Given the Blue Devils’ consistency, efficiency on both ends of the floor, and the tendency for Arizona to be hit or miss depending on Love’s performance, this feels like Duke’s game to control. Unless Arizona finds unexpected rhythm offensively, I expect Duke to pull away and cover comfortably. Look for the Blue Devils to extend their run and punch their ticket to the next round. Take Duke ATS
What’s even more impressive is Duke’s performance against the spread — a strong 24-12-0 ATS mark. That’s no small feat considering how heavily the public bets on them and the fact that they’re often laying big numbers. Despite the pressure and lofty expectations, they continue to deliver — both on the scoreboard and at the betting window.
On the other side, Arizona comes in with far more question marks, largely due to the unpredictable play of Caleb Love. Love is a high-variance player — one night he can light it up for 30+, and the next, he could go ice cold and struggle to hit anything. That kind of volatility is dangerous in a high-stakes matchup, especially when facing a top-tier Duke defense that ranks among the best in the country.
Given the Blue Devils’ consistency, efficiency on both ends of the floor, and the tendency for Arizona to be hit or miss depending on Love’s performance, this feels like Duke’s game to control. Unless Arizona finds unexpected rhythm offensively, I expect Duke to pull away and cover comfortably. Look for the Blue Devils to extend their run and punch their ticket to the next round. Take Duke ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Thursday, March 27th 2025 10:03 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Thursday, March 27th 2025 10:03 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Arizona vs Duke with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
John Anthony Sports 71 % Hakeem Profit 71 % Dylan Hellebrand 56 % Ron Romanelli 56 % Ken Thomson 63 % Kevin Erickson 56 % Kevin Erickson 56 % Big Al 55 % Doug Upstone 71 %
Arizona
Duke SPREAD
Arizona 9.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -7
Josh Schonwald
W%: 49
ROI: -5
Dylan Hellebrand
W%: 54
ROI: -1
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Sean Higgs
W%: 45
ROI: -13
Caleb Wilfinger
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Brad Francis
W%: 51
ROI: -7
Aaron Moore
W%: 44
ROI: -17
Ken Thomson
W%: 47
ROI: -11
Greg Peterson
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Big Al
W%: 52
ROI: -3
Smart Money Sports
W%: 48
ROI: -8
Bob Bafle
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Tommy G
W%: 51
ROI: -9
Bob Konarski (BurghBets)
W%: 50
ROI: -4
SPREAD
Duke -9.0 (-110) AVG SPREAD W%: 49 ROI: -5
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -8
Mark Ruelle
W%: 52
ROI: -2
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Andrew Jett
W%: 49
ROI: -8
Larry Hartstein (The Maestro)
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Jacob Mitchell
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Elite Sports Picks
W%: 48
ROI: -9
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Chip Chirimbes
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Chris Macero
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Dave Price
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Doug Upstone
W%: 49
ROI: -8
August Young
W%: 54
ROI: 1
TOTAL
UNDER 154.5 (-107)
AVG UNDER W%: 48 ROI: -9
Jacob Mitchell
W%: 50
ROI: -3
Ziti Sports
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Ron Boyles
W%: 41
ROI: -21
Hakeem Profit
W%: 51
ROI: -4
TOTAL
OVER 154.5 (-112)
AVG OVER W%: 47 ROI: -11
Trent Pruitt
W%: 49
ROI: -6
David Racey
W%: 51
ROI: -3
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
John Anthony Sports
W%: 51
ROI: -4
Andy Fanelli
W%: 42
ROI: -20
Jim Root
W%: 39
ROI: -27
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